La evaluación del riesgo de crédito en las instituciones de microfinanzas
- Seijas, María
- Vivel, Milagros
- Lado, Rubén
- Fernández, Sara
ISSN: 1390-9894, 1390-8391
Año de publicación: 2017
Título del ejemplar: Revista Compendium: Cuadernos de Economía y Administración
Volumen: 4
Número: 9
Páginas: 35-52
Tipo: Artículo
Otras publicaciones en: COMPENDIUM: Cuadernos de Economía y Administración
Resumen
This paper reviews the empirical research focused on credit risk assessment in microfinance institutions (MFIs), particularly identifying those related to Latin America. Since the pioneering work of Vigano (1993), literature has spread over the last two decades, covering a significant number of countries and with the main objective of assessing credit risk. First, this work focuses on identifying the use of credit scoring techniques in the literature to assess the risk of microcredit incurring some type of costly delay. In this way, the MFI could establish measures to mitigate and be more efficient. The theoretical analysis of these investigations shows the majority use of parametric techniques. However, more recent research finds that non-parametric techniques have a greater predictive power of non-compliance by microcredit clients. Second, this paper identifies the determinants of default risk analyzed in previous works. The evidence shows the importance of qualitative information about the borrower, the business and the loan, as well as the use of unstructured data.
Referencias bibliográficas
- Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589-609.
- Armendáriz, B. y Morduch, J. (2011). Economía de las microfinanzas. Ciudad de México: Fondo de Cultura Económica y Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas.
- Ayouche, S., Aboulaich, R., & Ellaia, R. (2017). Partnership credit scoring classification problem: a neural network approach. International Journal of Applied Engineering Research, 12(5), 693-704.
- Baklouti, I. (2014). A psychological approach to microfinance credit scoring via a classification and regression tree. Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, 21(4), 193-208.
- Beledo, M., Gaggero, M.& Lazarini, G. (2007). Las microfinanzas: un modelo de calificación estadística para una institución especializada en microcréditos de Uruguay. Trabajo de investigación monográfico. Universidad de la Republica, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración.
- Bensic, M., Sarlija, N., & Zekic‐Susac, M. (2005). Modelling small‐business credit scoring by using logistic regression, neural networks and decision trees. Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, 13(3), 133-150.
- Blanco, A., Pino-Mejías, R., Lara, J., & Rayo, S. (2013). Credit scoring models for the microfinance industry using neural networks: evidence from Peru. Expert Systems with applications, 40(1), 356-364.
- Blanco, A., Pino, R., & Lara, J. (2014). Modeling the Financial Distress of Microenterprise Start-ups Using Support Vector Machines: a case study. Innovar, 24(SPE), 153-168.
- Bumacov, V., Ashta, A., & Singh, P. (2014). The use of credit scoring in microfinance institutions and their outreach. Strategic Change, 23(7-8), 401-413.
- Chakravarty, S., & Jha, A. (2012). Viability of “Credit Scoring in Microfinance” for Developing Countries. International Review of Social Sciences and Humanities, 3(1), 104-107
- Cubiles-De-La-Vega, M. D., Blanco-Oliver, A., Pino-Mejías, R., & Lara-Rubio, J. (2013). Improving the management of microfinance institutions by using credit scoring models based on Statistical Learning techniques. Expert Systems with Applications, 40(17), 6910-6917.
- De Cnudde, S., Moeyersoms, J., Stankova, M., Tobback, E., Javaly, V., & Martens, D. (2015). Who cares about your Facebook friends? Credit scoring for microfinance (No. 2015018).
- Deininger, K., & Liu, Y. (2009). Determinants of repayment performance in Indian micro-credit groups. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4885.
- Dellien, H. (2003). Credit Scoring in Microfinance: Guidelines Based on Experience with WWB Affiliates in Colombia and the Dominican Republic. Women’s World Banking, 1(2), 1-15.
- Dellien, H., & Schreiner, M. (2005). Credit scoring, banks, and microfinance: balancing high-tech with high-touch. Microenterprise Development Review, 8(2), 1-16.
- Diallo, B. (2006). Un modele de “Credit scoring” pour une institution de micro-finance Africaine: Le cas de Nyesigiso au Mali. Orleans: LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans
- Dinh, T. H. T., & Kleimeier, S. (2007). A credit scoring model for Vietnam's retail banking market. International Review of Financial Analysis, 16(5), 471-495.
- Dos Santos, J. O., de Godoi, A. F., Bertoncelo, V. R., & Sincerre, B. P. (2015). Essay about the micro-credit and credit analysis methods: issues related to its origin, development and the behavioural scoring. Revista de Administração de Roraima, 5(1), 134.
- European Commission (2015). Credit Scoring in the European (Micro) finance sector. European Microfinance Network aisbl. http://www.european-microfinance.org/docs/activities/think_tanks_idea_labs/SCORING_EMN2015_LINKS_2.pdf
- Hand, D. J., & Henley, W. E. (1997). Statistical classification methods in consumer credit scoring: a review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 160(3), 523-541.
- Kammoun, A. and Triki, I. (2016). Credit scoring models for a Tunisian microfinance institution: comparison between artificial neural network and logistic regression. Review of Economics & Finance, 6(1), 61-78.
- Kim, H. S., & Sohn, S. Y. (2010). Support vector machines for default prediction of SMEs based on technology credit. European Journal of Operational Research, 201(3), 838-846.
- Kinda, O., & Achonu, A. (2012). Building a Credit Scoring Model for the Savings and Credit Mutual of the Potou Zone. Consilience: The Journal of Sustainable Development, 1(7), 17-32.
- Lara Rubio, J., Bolívar, M. P. R., & Cantón, S. R. (2011). Un caso empírico en la evaluación del riesgo de crédito de una institución de microfinanzas peruana. Contabilidad y Negocios: Revista del Departamento Académico de Ciencias Administrativas, 6(11), 21-30.
- Lara Rubio, J., Rayo Cantón, S. & Camino Blasco, D. (2010). La gestión del riesgo de crédito en las instituciones de microfinanzas. Editorial de la Universidad de Granada.
- Lara, J., Molina, V., Holgado, M.del M. (2014). Manual de procedimientos para la gestión del riesgo de microcrédito. Madrid: Godel.
- Microfinance Gateway (2016). Micro and SME Finance Market Outlook Report 2017. Noviembre 2016. https://www.microfinancegateway.org/library/micro-and-sme-finance-market-outlook-2017
- Rayo Cantón, S., Lara Rubio, J., & Camino Blasco, D. (2010). Un modelo de Credit Scoring para instituciones de microfinanzas en el marco de Basilea II. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 15(28), 89-124.
- Reinke, J. (1998). How to lend like mad and make a profit: A micro‐credit paradigm versus the start‐up fund in South Africa. The Journal of Development Studies, 34(3), 44-61.
- Römer, U., & Mußhoff, O. (2017). Can agricultural credit scoring for microfinance institutions be implemented and improved by weather data? (No. 1703). Diskussionspapiere, Department für Agrarökonomie und Rurale Entwicklung.
- Schreiner, M. (1999). The risk of exit for borrowers from a microlender in Bolivia. Center for Social Development, Washington University in St. Louis, gwbweb. wustl. edu/users/schreiner.
- Schreiner, M. (2000). Credit scoring for microfinance: Can it work? Journal of Microfinance/ESR Review, 2(2), 105-118.
- Schreiner, M. (2003). Scoring Drop-out at a Microlender in Bolivia. Savings and Development, 27(2), 101-118.
- Schreiner, M. (2004). Scoring arrears at a microlender in Bolivia. ESR Review, 6(2), 65.
- Serrano-Cinca, C., Gutiérrez-Nieto, B., & Reyes, N. M. (2016). A social and environmental approach to microfinance credit scoring. Journal of Cleaner Production, 112 (1), 3504-3513.
- Sharma, M., & Zeller, M. (1997). Repayment performance in group-based credit programs in Bangladesh: An empirical analysis. World development, 25(10), 1731-1742.
- Thomas, L. C., Edelman, D. B., & Crook, J. N. (2004). Readings in credit scoring: foundations, developments, and aims. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Van Gool, J., Verbeke, W., Sercu, P., & Baesens, B. (2012). Credit scoring for microfinance: is it worth it? International Journal of Finance & Economics, 17(2), 103-123.
- Viganò, L. (1993). A credit scoring model for development banks: An African case study. Savings and Development, 17 (4), 441–482.
- Vogelgesang, U. (2003). Microfinance in times of crisis: The effects of competition, rising indebtedness, and economic crisis on repayment behavior. World Development, 31(12), 2085-
- Zeller, M. (1998). Determinants of repayment performance in credit groups: The role of program design, intragroup risk pooling, and social cohesion. Economic development and cultural change, 46(3), 599-620.